Weekly Recap
Weekly Recap
Every hit, every miss, and the lineups that took it down ā graded against what actually happened.
š The lineups that mattered
The perfect lineup, the one that won the Milly Maker ($1M to 1st), and the Maniac's best entry of the week.
š° Best plays per dollar
Our pre-slate model read (ceiling, hit%, 4x%, nuke%) and our exposure vs the field ā against what actually happened. Tap a position to filter.
| Our model said | Ownership | Result | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Ceil | Hit% | 4x% | Nuke% | Maniac's | Field | FPTS | Value |
| BuccaneersDST Ā· $2,200 | 12 | 8% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 27.0 š | 12.3x |
| Mason TaylorTE Ā· $2,800 | 16 | 4% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 25.2 | 9x |
| Tony PollardRB Ā· $5,300 | 26 | 11% | 22% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 39.5 | 7.5x |
| Davis AllenTE Ā· $2,500 | ā | ā | ā | ā | 0% | 0% | 18.0 | 7.2x |
| Omar Cooper Jr.WR Ā· $4,100 | 22 | 10% | 19% | 2% | 15% š | 5% | 25.5 | 6.2x |
| KC Concepcion Jr.WR Ā· $4,400 | 14 | 24% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 26.2 | 6x |
| Malik WillisQB Ā· $4,700 | 30 | 7% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 26.0 | 5.5x |
| Caleb DouglasWR Ā· $4,000 | 16 | 11% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 21.0 | 5.3x |
| Bo NixQB Ā· $5,000 | 30 | 13% | 32% | 7% | 10% š | 6% | 26.2 | 5.2x |
| FalconsDST Ā· $2,200 | 11 | 8% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 11.0 | 5x |
| Geno SmithQB Ā· $5,100 | 28 | 10% | 26% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 24.5 | 4.8x |
| Tre TuckerWR Ā· $5,200 | 28 | 6% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 24.3 | 4.7x |
| Jameson WilliamsWR Ā· $5,800 | 28 | 7% | 11% | 1% | 8% | 9% | 26.1 | 4.5x |
| Tee HigginsWR Ā· $6,600 | 37 | 8% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 29.8 | 4.5x |
| Bucky IrvingRB Ā· $6,100 | 32 | 11% | 21% | 3% | 15% | 15% | 27.0 | 4.4x |
| Zay FlowersWR Ā· $6,900 | 35 | 17% | 30% | 6% | 11% š | 4% | 30.7 | 4.4x |
| Deshaun WatsonQB Ā· $5,200 | 29 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 22.2 | 4.3x |
| Quinshon JudkinsRB Ā· $5,400 | 22 | 14% | 14% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 23.4 | 4.3x |
| Cam SkatteboRB Ā· $5,100 | 20 | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 22.1 | 4.3x |
| Greg DulcichTE Ā· $3,200 | 14 | 6% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13.6 | 4.3x |
| Joe BurrowQB Ā· $6,900 | 38 | 5% | 23% | 8% | 0% | 4% | 28.9 | 4.2x |
| Drew SampleTE Ā· $2,500 | 8 | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.4 | 4.2x |
| Trey McBrideTE Ā· $7,400 | 33 | 7% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 2% | 30.1 š | 4.1x |
| Tez JohnsonWR Ā· $3,200 | 16 | 10% | 14% | 1% | 15% š | 2% | 12.7 | 4x |
| BengalsDST Ā· $2,500 | 12 | 8% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 10.0 | 4x |
| Michael Penix Jr.QB Ā· $5,300 | 23 | 8% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 20.4 | 3.9x |
| Braelon AllenRB Ā· $5,900 | 24 | 27% | 28% | 4% | 20% š | 20% | 22.4 | 3.8x |
| Ollie Gordon IIRB Ā· $5,500 | 18 | 22% | 16% | 3% | 9% š | 7% | 20.3 | 3.7x |
| Kirk CousinsQB Ā· $5,800 | 30 | 9% | 18% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 20.4 | 3.5x |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR Ā· $7,800 | 45 | 6% | 19% | 7% | 10% | 19% | 27.2 | 3.5x |
| Darren WallerTE Ā· $3,400 | 23 | 5% | 15% | 6% | 12% š | 1% | 12.0 | 3.5x |
| Blake CorumRB Ā· $5,000 | 17 | 13% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 17.1 | 3.4x |
| Harold Fannin Jr.TE Ā· $4,200 | 23 | 11% | 18% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 14.1 | 3.4x |
| Tyler HuntleyQB Ā· $4,900 | 25 | 23% | 32% | 9% | 4% š | 2% | 16.1 | 3.3x |
| Ashton JeantyRB Ā· $6,500 | 37 | 5% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 21.6 | 3.3x |
| Devin SingletaryRB Ā· $4,400 | ā | ā | ā | ā | 0% | 0% | 14.5 | 3.3x |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.TE Ā· $4,000 | 22 | 9% | 16% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 13.2 | 3.3x |
| Colby ParkinsonTE Ā· $3,000 | 14 | 16% | 20% | 2% | 12% š | 4% | 9.8 | 3.3x |
| Jared GoffQB Ā· $6,800 | 34 | 8% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 22.0 | 3.2x |
| Josh JacobsRB Ā· $6,300 | 33 | 8% | 15% | 3% | 8% š | 3% | 20.1 | 3.2x |
| Malachi FieldsWR Ā· $3,800 | 12 | 6% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12.3 | 3.2x |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR Ā· $3,700 | 9 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11.9 | 3.2x |
| Malik NabersWR Ā· $6,800 | 40 | 5% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 21.1 | 3.1x |
| Tucker KraftTE Ā· $4,700 | 25 | 9% | 20% | 4% | 40% š | 21% | 14.8 | 3.1x |
| Jordan LoveQB Ā· $6,000 | 33 | 10% | 35% | 4% | 43% š | 28% | 18.0 | 3x |
| T.J. HockensonTE Ā· $4,500 | 29 | 7% | 19% | 6% | 4% š | 4% | 13.5 | 3x |
| C.J. StroudQB Ā· $5,700 | 28 | 12% | 30% | 3% | 15% š | 14% | 16.5 | 2.9x |
| Matthew StaffordQB Ā· $6,400 | 31 | 17% | 27% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 18.5 | 2.9x |
| Christian McCaffreyRB Ā· $7,600 | 45 | 7% | 36% | 10% | 43% š | 38% | 22.0 | 2.9x |
| VikingsDST Ā· $3,500 | 16 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 18% š | 11% | 10.0 | 2.9x |
| Sean TuckerRB Ā· $4,000 | 4 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11.2 | 2.8x |
| George KittleTE Ā· $5,700 | 31 | 22% | 36% | 16% | 26% | 26% | 15.8 | 2.8x |
| PackersDST Ā· $2,300 | 10 | 8% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6.0 | 2.6x |
| ColtsDST Ā· $2,400 | 11 | 8% | 12% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 6.0 | 2.5x |
| LionsDST Ā· $2,500 | 13 | 8% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 6.0 | 2.4x |
| TitansDST Ā· $2,600 | 15 | 8% | 18% | 5% | 1% | 15% | 5.0 | 1.9x |
| BrownsDST Ā· $2,800 | 14 | 8% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 5.0 | 1.8x |
| DolphinsDST Ā· $2,300 | 11 | 8% | 14% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 4.0 | 1.7x |
| BroncosDST Ā· $3,300 | 15 | 8% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 4.0 | 1.2x |
| TexansDST Ā· $3,400 | 18 | 8% | 16% | 9% | 30% š | 11% | 3.0 | 0.9x |
š§ Worst plays per dollar
The chalk busts ā lowest DK points per $1,000 among rostered players, plus any defense that scored in the negative. Tap a position for the worst at each spot.
| Our model said | Ownership | Result | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Ceil | Hit% | 4x% | Nuke% | Maniac's | Field | FPTS | Value |
| PanthersDST Ā· $3,000 | 14 | 8% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 3% | -4.0 | -1.3x |
| RavensDST Ā· $2,700 | 11 | 8% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | -3.0 | -1.1x |
| 49ersDST Ā· $3,200 | 12 | 8% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 1% | -1.0 | -0.3x |
| Ted Hurst IIIWR Ā· $3,000 | 18 | 11% | 25% | 1% | 16% | 19% | 0.0 | 0x |
| Christian KirkWR Ā· $3,600 | 19 | 7% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 0.0 | 0x |
| Cade OttonTE Ā· $3,100 | 20 | 5% | 18% | 1% | 12% | 13% | 0.0 | 0x |
| Jalen CokerWR Ā· $6,100 | 39 | 8% | 23% | 4% | 40% š | 19% | 1.9 | 0.3x |
| JetsDST Ā· $2,900 | 12 | 9% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 13% | 1.0 | 0.3x |
| Nico CollinsWR Ā· $7,200 | 39 | 8% | 20% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 2.6 | 0.4x |
| Jaylin NoelWR Ā· $3,900 | 25 | 6% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 1.7 | 0.4x |
| RaidersDST Ā· $2,000 | 11 | 8% | 17% | 2% | 50% š | 8% | 1.0 | 0.5x |
| Aaron Jones Sr.RB Ā· $6,200 | 27 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 3.6 | 0.6x |
| Isaiah LikelyTE Ā· $5,300 | 31 | 12% | 24% | 9% | 1% | 11% | 3.2 | 0.6x |
| Sam LaPortaTE Ā· $4,800 | 24 | 15% | 29% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 2.8 | 0.6x |
| Garrett WilsonWR Ā· $6,500 | 34 | 14% | 23% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4.6 | 0.7x |
| Konata MumpfieldWR Ā· $3,200 | 8 | 23% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 2.5 | 0.8x |
| TexansDST Ā· $3,400 | 18 | 8% | 16% | 9% | 30% š | 11% | 3.0 | 0.9x |
| Tyler HigbeeTE Ā· $3,500 | 21 | 16% | 33% | 5% | 12% | 18% | 3.4 | 1x |
| Tetairoa McMillanWR Ā· $7,100 | 41 | 7% | 17% | 6% | 10% š | 8% | 8.0 | 1.1x |
| Justin JeffersonWR Ā· $7,300 | 43 | 11% | 25% | 8% | 19% š | 8% | 8.4 | 1.2x |
| Bryce YoungQB Ā· $5,900 | 37 | 8% | 30% | 7% | 20% š | 8% | 8.4 | 1.4x |
| Chuba HubbardRB Ā· $6,700 | 32 | 16% | 25% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 10.0 | 1.5x |
| Christian WatsonWR Ā· $7,000 | 38 | 11% | 23% | 5% | 30% š | 21% | 10.7 | 1.5x |
| Woody MarksRB Ā· $5,600 | 26 | 23% | 34% | 3% | 19% | 23% | 9.1 | 1.6x |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR Ā· $4,300 | 28 | 3% | 22% | 1% | 18% š | 15% | 6.7 | 1.6x |
| Jaylen WaddleWR Ā· $5,500 | 30 | 11% | 19% | 3% | 24% š | 9% | 8.8 | 1.6x |
| BrownsDST Ā· $2,800 | 14 | 8% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 5.0 | 1.8x |
| TitansDST Ā· $2,600 | 15 | 8% | 18% | 5% | 1% | 15% | 5.0 | 1.9x |
| Bijan RobinsonRB Ā· $8,500 | 44 | 21% | 36% | 14% | 12% | 21% | 17.2 | 2x |
| J.J. McCarthyQB Ā· $4,800 | 24 | 3% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 10.2 | 2.1x |
| Brock PurdyQB Ā· $6,600 | 35 | 14% | 32% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 14.0 | 2.1x |
| C.J. StroudQB Ā· $5,700 | 28 | 12% | 30% | 3% | 15% š | 14% | 16.5 | 2.9x |
| Jordan LoveQB Ā· $6,000 | 33 | 10% | 35% | 4% | 43% š | 28% | 18.0 | 3x |
| Jared GoffQB Ā· $6,800 | 34 | 8% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 22.0 | 3.2x |
š Best stacks that could have won
QB-anchored correlations, kept to the ones whose best real lineup cleared 202.9 (90% of the 225.4 winning score) ā stacks that could actually have taken it down. % rostered counts entries that ran the exact combo (no extra same-team piece); top lineup = the best real score built on it.
Best stack by QB ā pick any QB: his best route (naked if that was best), then the stacks whose top lineup cleared 202.9 ā same stats (our %, field %, top lineup)



























































































































Team stacks ā win on their own, no bring-back






Bring-back stacks ā paired with the other side (BB)






Non-QB stacks ā correlated skill, no QB

š Game by game
Final score, team yardage (total / pass / rush), touchdowns, and each side's top DFS scorers.
MIA28
NYJ25
CIN35
BAL13
GB17
DET20
SF20
ATL29
CLE27
TEN24
NYG27
HOU21
DEN30
ARI16
TB43
CAR13
IND10
MIN16
LA35
LV21